![]() This result proves the importance of moving to a local investigation to strengthen our understanding and bring out additional interesting information. Despite some variables seeming to be the more informative to explain the process globally, they highlight a strong relationship for only a few specific areas while considering a local analysis. As regards possible key drivers of conflicts, our results show that surprisingly socioeconomic variables present very little relationship with conflicts, while natural disasters and cocaine areas show a relevant impact on them. Our findings indicate a possible diffusion process of conflicts and the presence of spillover effects among regions by comparing the two most known spatial regression models. In this study, we do not consider only the entire Colombian territory, but we extend the analysis to a restricted area (Norte de Santander department) to explore the phenomena locally. We investigate the role of determinants and their relationship with conflicts through spatial regression models. To achieve these aims, we apply a spatial analysis to explore patterns and identify areas that suffer from high levels of conflict. ![]() In this work, we aim to evaluate the role of the socioeconomic, political, financial, and environmental determinants of conflicts in the Colombian context. The political and socio-economic situation, drug trafficking in the Colombian economy, and natural disasters events affect the country and foster general violence. Colombia is affected for decades by a high level of armed conflicts and violence. 2Department of Computer Science, University of Turin, Turin, ItalyĬonflicts cause immense human suffering, violate human rights, and affect people's stability.1Institute for Scientific Interchange, ISI Foundation, Turin, Italy.Stefania Fiandrino 1 * † Ciro Cattuto 1 Daniela Paolotti 1 Rossano Schifanella 1,2
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